Evaluation with Recommendations by the Washington State Academy of Sciences of 2015 Drought and Agriculture

The Washington state “water year” October 1, 2014, to September 30, 2015, was one of the driest on record, due to lower-than-normal precipitation and higher-than-normal temperatures. Because precipitation in the Cascade Mountains fell mostly as rain and not snow, and because the snow that did fall melted early, snow-water available for irrigation in the Yakima and Kittitas valleys was only 25 percent of normal. In October 2015, the Washington State Department of Ecology (DOE), the state’s lead on drought monitoring and mitigation, asked the Washington State Department of Agriculture (WSDA) to analyze the economic impacts of the 2015 drought on Washington agriculture. The task of quantifying the effects of the drought on agriculture fell to the WSDA’s Natural Resources Assessment Section (NRAS). An interim report describing the qualitative effects was submitted to the DOE on December 31, 2015, and a final report quantifying effects of the drought is due at the DOE on December 31, 2016. In early October 2016, the WSDA-NRAS asked the Washington State Academy of Sciences (WSAS) to review the science supporting the methodologies and interpretation of the results of its study.